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Allergy & Asthma Advocate: Spring 2003

How weather affects allergies: A look at the past, present and future
By Donald W. Pulver, MD, FAAAAI

Have you been wondering whether your area will have a heavy pollen season this spring? Like you, not even scientists who have computer mathematical models incorporating years of pollen and meteorological data, will know what this year’s pollen season will be like. In fact, no one can accurately forecast pollen potential. Mother Nature is in total control.

There are many factors that affect pollen levels and these factors vary from year to year. Since no one can predict future weather trends or the factors that affect pollen accurately (such as soil temperatures, number of days above 55 degrees, duration of freezing temperatures throughout the winter and moisture levels), it is difficult to determine the severity of spring allergy season.

Relying on up-to-the-minute, proven, standardized and quality controlled data from the AAAAI National Allergy Bureau (NAB), www.aaaai.org/nab, is so important. The AAAAI Aeroallergen Network is a system of pollen and spore counting stations staffed by AAAAI member volunteers who generously donate their time and expertise. The NAB currently provides the most accurate and reliable pollen and mold counts from approximately 84 counting stations throughout the United States and 4 counting stations in Canada. The stations use state-of-the-art air sampling equipment to collect airborne pollen and spores for research to aid in the diagnosis, treatment and management of allergic diseases. The pollen information listed on the Web site is as close to real time as possible, often within hours to 24 hours of actual occurrence.

Sometimes there are unusual weather patterns that do lead us to believe that pollen levels will be worse than previous years. The following example demonstrates how severe weather disturbances have an effect on pollen levels:

On 4/19/98 “El Nino Allergies” was the lead topic on NBC Dateline:

The El Nino weather pattern created unusually early warmth and wet, rainy conditions for the southwest and northeast regions of the US in early spring 1998. El Nino, due to warm water off Ecuador, sent the jet stream northward with tropical warm weather conditions that nurtured plants and created mudslides in California with marked blooming of western sage and ragweed. As plants flowered, they released pollen. The northeast experienced the earliest release of tree pollen in decades. Instead of usual March/April release, it started February 6, a full month earlier. This extended the pollen season and allergy sufferers were exposed to one additional month of pollen, resulting in an increase in allergy symptoms.

The botanically delightful and long growth season created optimal conditions, rain and warmth, for record shattering tree pollination the next spring. As a result of nurturing rain, trees grew more branches and formed more buds with pollen anthers inside, explaining why the following year we had record shattering tree pollination in the Northeast. The tree pollen was so heavy it made interstate highway driving slick and dangerous due to the coating of roads. For other plants such as ragweed and grass, the impact was seen immediately with prolonged and abundant pollen levels in 1998.


The example listed above reflects an abnormal weather phenomenon; nevertheless it demonstrates how weather can affect pollen levels. As spring arrives in your area this year, please visit the AAAAI Web site for patient education materials that will help you learn to manage your symptoms. And don’t forget to stay up-to-date with the latest pollen levels by visiting www.aaaai.org/nab for pollen and mold counts. Above all, be sure to visit your allergist for the latest treatment options. If you are not seeing an allergist and would like to locate one in your community, please visit the AAAAI Physician Referral Directory, www.aaaai.org/physref, and enter your zip code for a complete listing of allergists.

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